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Sports The computer models that pick NFL games have made their picks for Week 14

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Two models, Elo and Cortana, predict who will win games during Week 14 of the NFL season.

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(Quinn Harris/Getty Images)

  • Elo and Cortana have made their picks for Week 14.
  • Cortana leads the overall race, correctly picking 67% of the games this season.


Week 14 of the NFL season is here, and Cortana is back to make picks in a head-to-head showdown with Elo.

We looked at two popular systems used to pick NFL games: Cortana, Microsoft's digital assistant, and Elo, the modeling system used by Nate Silver's data-journalism site, FiveThirtyEight.

In both cases, the computers are picking outright winners and not against the spread. Each gives a likelihood that a team will win, however, which in theory could help measure the strength of certain lines.

Cortana is off to a strong start this season, correctly picking 67% of the games, including a 10-6 record in Week 13. Elo has nailed 62% overall.

Here are the picks for Week 14, with each team's percent chance of winning in parentheses. Point spreads are for reference, via Vegas Insider as of Thursday morning.

"Thursday Night Football"

"Thursday Night Football" play

"Thursday Night Football"

(Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

  • Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-5) — TITANS (Elo 66%, Cortana 63%)



Sunday-afternoon games — early window

Sunday-afternoon games — early window play

Sunday-afternoon games — early window

(Justin Berl/Getty)

  • New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5) — BILLS (Elo 70%, Cortana 58%)
  • Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns — PANTHERS (Elo 62%, Cortana 55%)
  • Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-5) — PACKERS (Elo 53%, Cortana 66%)
  • Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) — CHIEFS (Elo 71%, Cortana 72%)
  • New England Patriots (-7.5) at Miami Dolphins — PATRIOTS (Elo 72%, Cortana 72%)
  • New Orleans Saints (-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — SAINTS (Elo 74%, Cortana 73%)
  • New York Giants (-3.5) at Washington Redskins — REDSKINS (Elo 69%, Cortana 53%)
  • Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-4.5) — TEXANS (Elo 68%, Cortana 63%)



Sunday-afternoon games — late window

Sunday-afternoon games — late window play

Sunday-afternoon games — late window

(Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

  • Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers (-14) — CHARGERS (Elo 84%, Cortana 80%)
  • Denver Broncos (-4) at San Francisco 49ers — BRONCOS (Elo 63%, Cortana 72%)
  • Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) — COWBOYS (Elo 59%, Cortana 63%)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5) at Oakland Raiders — STEELERS (Elo 78%, Cortana 75%)
  • Detroit Lions (-3) at Arizona Cardinals — CARDINALS (Elo 51%); LIONS (Cortana 55%)



"Sunday Night Football"

"Sunday Night Football" play

"Sunday Night Football"

(Ben Margot/AP)

  • Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Chicago Bears — RAMS (Elo 56%); BEARS (Cortana 51%)



"Monday Night Football"

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(Quinn Harris/Getty Images)

  • Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3) — SEAHAWKS (Elo 62%, Cortana 57%)



Now check out this week's power rankings.

Now check out this week's power rankings. play

Now check out this week's power rankings.

(Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

NFL POWER RANKINGS: Where all 32 teams stand going into Week 14